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Predicted Time 4-mile Run, 10 March 2007

Leatherman Captures Predicted Time Run.

For the second time in the past three years, Bob Leatherman captured the top prize in the predicted time four miler, held on March 10 on the Tech Court course.

As has been the case in most of the races he's recently attended, Karsten Brown started fast and increased his lead quickly. His time of roughly 11:30 for the first two miles gave him a fifty second lead over Noah Wood, and at the finish he was over three minutes in front.

Predicted time races are different, however, from most others, since all participants leave a time with the scorekeeper, remove their watches before the race starts, and then try really hard to match that time. Thus six minutes after Karsten Brown's finish, in came Leatherman, a mere seven seconds off his predicted time. In 2005, however, Leatherman finished in a tie when he was only three seconds off his predicted time, and since he ran the faster actual time, he received top billing.

The top predictors were bunched at the top and bottom of the field. Thus Karsten Brown not only finished with the best actual time, but as the third best predictor. Jon Hill, running without dogs this time, finished in sixth place, but as the second best predictor. Conversely Joe Zgorski and Liuda Galinaitis finished near the back of the actual pack, but in the top five predictors.

The next club race, a 5000 meter track run, will be held at 9:00 am on Saturday, March 31, at the McDaniel College track. Skip Fennell, 410-848-8991 or ffennell@mcdaniel.edu, while not doing a particularly good job of predicting his time in this race, promises to do a better job of counting remaining laps for the large field that is expected. Skip is, after all, the president of the National Council of the Teachers of Mathematics, and his captive audience will want to hear him count backwards from 12 to 1.